ビットコインリターン
BTCとETHの日次/週次/月次/四半期リターン推移 · 平均値と中央値 · BTCは2013年から、ETHは2016年から
ビットコイン 四半期リターン
| 時刻 | Q1 | Q2 | Q3 | Q4 |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026 | -22.08% | -14.15% | +11.72% | — |
| 2025 | -11.78% | +29.79% | +6.44% | -23.14% |
| 2024 | +68.57% | -11.93% | +0.88% | +47.76% |
| 2023 | +72.09% | +7.05% | -11.52% | +56.82% |
| 2022 | -1.53% | -56.18% | -2.61% | -14.84% |
| 2021 | +103.11% | -40.34% | +25.05% | +5.46% |
| 2020 | -10.90% | +42.52% | +17.94% | +168.39% |
| 2019 | +10.85% | +164.51% | -23.64% | -13.19% |
| 2018 | -49.51% | -7.69% | +3.61% | -44.09% |
| 2017 | +2.92% | +107.43% | +22.82% | +213.35% |
| 2016 | -4.47% | +57.83% | -7.41% | +48.34% |
| 2015 | -27.23% | +11.38% | -6.19% | +78.80% |
| 2014 | -41.94% | +29.66% | -40.43% | -13.04% |
| 2013 | +581.58% | +2.73% | +51.89% | +564.43% |
| 平均 | +47.83% | +23.04% | +3.47% | +82.70% |
| 中央値 | -3.00% | +9.21% | +2.25% | +47.76% |
イーサリアム 四半期リターン
| 時刻 | Q1 | Q2 | Q3 | Q4 |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026 | -29.15% | -25.34% | +21.78% | — |
| 2025 | -45.39% | +36.39% | +66.77% | -28.31% |
| 2024 | +59.76% | -5.69% | -24.31% | +28.27% |
| 2023 | +52.29% | +6.17% | -13.59% | +36.56% |
| 2022 | -10.73% | -67.36% | +24.06% | -9.98% |
| 2021 | +160.73% | +18.56% | +31.85% | +22.51% |
| 2020 | +2.74% | +69.99% | +59.51% | +104.66% |
| 2019 | +7.54% | +106.96% | -38.24% | -28.64% |
| 2018 | -46.32% | +15.28% | -48.72% | -43.57% |
| 2017 | +453.82% | +481.72% | -22.65% | +140.19% |
| 2016 | +976.66% | +8.55% | +12.30% | -36.54% |
| 平均 | +143.81% | +58.66% | +6.25% | +18.52% |
| 中央値 | +7.54% | +15.28% | +12.30% | +6.27% |
ビットコイン
BTCETH
日次リターン(%)週次リターン(%)月次リターン
| 時刻 | 2026 | 2025 | 2024 | 2023 | 2022 | 2021 | 2020 | 2019 | 2018 | 2017 | 2016 | 2015 | 2014 | 2013 | 平均 | 中央値 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Jan | -10.16% | +9.46% | +0.70% | +39.80% | -16.77% | +14.42% | +29.99% | -7.22% | -25.01% | -2.88% | -15.72% | -30.96% | +6.76% | +53.86% | +3.30% | -1.09% |
| Feb | -14.94% | -17.65% | +43.57% | +0.07% | +12.20% | +36.39% | -8.86% | +11.05% | +0.41% | +20.34% | +17.93% | +12.26% | -32.21% | +63.26% | +10.27% | +11.63% |
| Mar | +1.96% | -2.13% | +16.60% | +23.01% | +5.45% | +30.15% | -24.79% | +7.59% | -32.94% | -11.94% | -3.89% | -6.11% | -19.77% | +171.34% | +11.04% | -0.08% |
| Apr | +11.81% | +14.08% | -14.88% | +2.70% | -17.31% | -1.78% | +34.43% | +29.70% | +33.57% | +26.84% | +7.84% | -4.39% | -6.29% | +34.32% | +10.76% | +9.82% |
| May | -3.50% | +11.06% | +11.32% | -6.92% | -15.49% | -35.43% | +9.61% | +60.75% | -19.05% | +60.02% | +16.69% | -1.42% | +36.44% | +10.08% | +9.58% | +9.84% |
| Jun | -20.43% | +2.44% | -7.06% | +11.99% | -37.29% | -5.93% | -3.28% | +26.87% | -14.63% | +2.20% | +25.42% | +18.17% | +1.41% | -30.52% | -2.19% | -0.93% |
| Jul | +11.72% | +8.04% | +2.96% | -4.07% | +16.80% | +18.31% | +24.05% | -7.13% | +20.96% | +18.66% | -7.78% | +10.29% | -9.48% | +18.29% | +8.69% | +11.00% |
| Aug | — | -6.49% | -8.75% | -11.26% | -13.93% | +13.60% | +2.77% | -4.89% | -9.37% | +10.87% | -5.64% | -18.10% | -19.78% | +32.94% | -2.93% | -6.49% |
| Sep | — | +5.36% | +7.38% | +3.94% | -3.12% | -6.96% | -7.49% | -13.55% | -5.49% | -6.64% | +6.40% | +3.85% | -17.97% | -3.41% | -2.90% | -3.41% |
| Oct | — | -3.89% | +11.00% | +28.47% | +5.50% | +39.89% | +27.97% | +10.26% | -3.84% | +47.61% | +13.57% | +31.86% | -11.94% | +59.34% | +19.68% | +13.57% |
| Nov | — | -17.56% | +37.15% | +8.90% | -16.24% | -7.10% | +42.82% | -17.49% | -36.55% | +52.24% | +1.59% | +14.41% | +16.75% | +451.28% | +40.78% | +8.90% |
| Dec | — | -3.00% | -2.94% | +12.09% | -3.63% | -18.85% | +46.85% | -4.58% | -8.37% | +39.44% | +28.57% | +18.52% | -15.42% | -24.36% | +4.95% | -3.00% |
| 年次 | -25.27% | -6.33% | +121.31% | +155.62% | -64.21% | +59.79% | +301.98% | +94.40% | -73.00% | +1275.41% | +122.92% | +36.50% | -57.38% | +5372.48% | — | — |
Monthly return = (month close - month open) / month open. Quarterly return is compounded from 3 monthly returns. Weekly return uses ISO weeks (Mon-Sun). Daily return is day-over-day close price change. Data source: CoinMetrics reference price before Aug 2017 (BTC from 2013-01, ETH from 2016-01), Binance BTCUSDT/ETHUSDT monthly klines after — both segments disclosed transparently.
ビットコインリターンについて
ビットコイン月次リターン表とは何ですか？
BTC（2013年以降）とETH（2016年以降）の暦月ごとの騰落率を示し、歴史的に強い10月や弱い9月といった季節的パターンを見つけられるようにします。
四半期リターンはどのように計算されますか？
各四半期は3つの月次リターンを複利で計算します：(1+m1)×(1+m2)×(1+m3)−1、これにより四半期の始値から終値までの動きと一致します。
データはどこから来ますか？
2017年8月以前はCoinMetrics参照価格（BTCは2013年1月から、ETHは2016年1月から）、それ以降はBinance BTCUSDT・ETHUSDTの月足を使用し、6時間ごとに更新されます。
2017年8月前後でデータソースが異なるのはなぜですか？
バイナンス（Binance）は2017年8月にBTCUSDT/ETHUSDTペアを上場したため、それ以前は取引所のK線データが存在しません。ビットコインの2013年、イーサリアムの2016年までの完全な履歴を遡るため、CoinMetricsの参照価格（業界標準の過去価格集計方式）とバイナンスの月足を接続しており、切り替え時点はページ上に明記されています。
過去のパフォーマンスは将来の結果を保証しません。季節性は統計的な傾向であり、規則ではありません。