Angebotsänderung der Kurzzeithalter

HODL & Halter-Kohorten · CoinBoss Indikatoren-Hub

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Source: blockchain.info on-chain statistics, refreshed every 12 hours.

Daily change in hot-money inventory

STH Net Position Change = the day-by-day net change of short-term holder supply, in BTC. The convention mirrors the LTH change page: positive = the short-term cohort's holdings expanding on net (fresh buying and churn inflows exceeding coins aging out at 155 days), negative = net contraction. Since all supply shuttles between just these two cohorts, this chart runs roughly as the mirror image of the LTH change chart — the same coin's graduation posts positive on the LTH side and negative here.

Why the STH side deserves its own read

A mirror is not redundancy. The STH-side reading takes hot money as its subject and answers directly: is speculative inventory growing or receding today? The signature of a bull impulse phase is sustained deep-positive STH prints — new money absorbing distribution at scale. When price makes new highs while STH-side positives visibly narrow, the rally's capital supply is stepping down — a divergence that requires a mental detour to extract from the LTH side but reads at a glance here.

A note on the window

Full disclosure: this series was added by the data provider only recently, so its history currently spans just a few months (from March 2026) — not yet enough to display full cycle shapes. Within a short window, limit yourself to two uses: tracking the persistence of the sign, and cross-checking against the LTH change and STH supply stock pages. The window lengthens naturally as daily updates accumulate.

Reading caveats

Two. Both directions of STH cohort flow are polluted by exchange behavior — wallet reshuffles can inflate it (old coins reset young) or deflate it (coins parked in cold storage aging out) — so vet one-day extremes against exchange on-chain activity first. And STH net change is tightly entangled with short-term price action (rallies → active churn → STH expansion), making it better suited as a confirmation gauge of capital supply than a leading signal.
Alongside holder behavior, watch short-term leverage via BTC liquidations and funding rates.